Sports betting can be quite profitable if you know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a perfect example of this. My partner and i analyzed this Western Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Virginia had often the edge in the match. Nevertheless , We also understood that there initially were a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not bet on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This game offers all the signals of being one involving the ideal games of the year, together with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with West Virginia coming back from staying down huge in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning inside overtime.
So what’s the sport appearance like this year?
In case this activity were being played from a simple field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. These people haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 PATH games.
These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, the included added bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close match-up similar to this, that excess point could make the big difference between a new push and a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home games.
Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since December 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. four points per game in your own home, while hitting only giving up 15. 6 points each game on home. In case you did not do the mathematics, that means since their particular last home damage they already have averaged beating their very own competitors by way of about thirty four things per game.
Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by simply 13 factors per game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats had been developed during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They have already got recent games by which they also have only scored 28, 12, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The bottom line is that will this is still a good close activity to call. Nevertheless what I look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t have one to this low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this game and not really guarantee at all. There happen to be บาคาร่า ปอยเปต of the week with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return a good punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s borders had not been so big which they may still win following producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this video game, people critical regarding sports betting saved money they will can put to better use on approaching games.